The Dilemma of Up-Market
Consider the problem of a successful company. They have to show growth and profitability. The more you grow, the larger you become. And the larger you become, the more you have to make to keep growing.
A million dollar company that grows 20% a year has to increase sales by $200,000. A billion dollar company, to show the same growth, has to get 200 million. This means they are unlikely to see a small, emerging market as generating enough in sales to be attractive. Their focus is to sell up-market, to those customers who generate the most profit. Further, they need to sell products with the highest margins.
A disruptive innovation isn’t attractive from an economic standpoint. It is usually cheaper, simpler, more convenient and has a much lower profit margin. Small markets and low profits are anathema for large companies. The push is to sell up-market instead. This strategy actually works for a time. It works until the disruptive innovation finally improves to the point that it can compete even in the high performance end of the spectrum. At that point, it is too late for the established company to compete.
Start-ups have two real advantages with disruptive innovation. The first is flexibility – they can modify their business to meet changes rapidly. This is key when no one knows where an innovation will lead. Customers as well as manufacturers are discovering uses and performance objectives simultaneously.
The second advantage is that up-market for them is very far down-market for larger companies in the industry. This protects them from competition; a battle they would lose because they lack resources.
So why can’t leading companies in an industry simply jump in when the market becomes attractive? Why can’t they just take over when ‘things get interesting’?
Because, by then, it is too late – all the reasons they became great become the reasons they fall… |